Example 1:
A pair of dice is thrown. Find the probability of obtaining a sum of 8 or getting an even number on both the dice.
Solution:
Let the events be defined as:
A : obtaining a sum of 8
B : getting an even number on both dice
We are required to find out the total Probability A and B, i.e.
P(AUB) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A∩B)
Now cases favourable to A
are
(3, 5) (5, 3) (2, 6) (6, 2) (4, 4)
So, P(A) = 5/36
Cases favourable to B : (2, 2), (2, 4), (2, 6),
(4, 2), (4, 4), (4, 6),
(6, 2), (6, 4), (6, 6).
P(B) = 9/36
Now, (2, 6) (6, 2) and (4, 4) are common to both events A and B
So P(A∩B) = 3/36
=> P(AUB) = = 5/36+9/36-3/36=11/36 (Ans.)
Example 2:
A number x is selected from first 100 natural numbers. Find the probability that x satisfy the condition x + 100/x > 50.
Solution:
Total number of ways of selecting x is 100.
Now the given condition is x + 100/x > 50, on analyzing this equation, carefully, we see that this equation is satisfied for all the numbers x such that x > 48 and also for x = 1 and 2
So, favourable number cases is 55
Therefore, probability = 55/100 = 11/20 (Ans.)
Example 3:
'A' has three share in a lottery in which there are 3 prizes and 6 blanks' 'B' has one share in a lottery in which there is 1 prize and 2 blanks. Show that A's chance of winning a prize of B's chance of winning a prizes in ratio 16:7
Solution:
Method 1:
'A' may win one, two or all the three prizes, the total probability is
=(3C16C2)/(9C3)+(3C26C1)/(9C3)+(3C36C0)/(9C3)=(45+18+1)/84=64/84=16/21
P(B) = ( 1C1)/( 3C1 )=1/3
(P(A))/(P(B))=(16×3)/21=16/7=> P(A) : P(B) = 16 : 7 (Proved)
Method 2:
A can win one, two or all the prizes in the following manner
1 prize, 2 blanks 2 prizes, 1 blank 3 prizes
I II III
All the three cases where 'A' can win is independent and mutually exclusive. Hence probability that A can win prize is given as
P(A) = P(I) + P(II) + P(III)
Let's calculate P(I): it is something like this:
A bag contains 3 white balls (prizes and 6 black balls (blanks) then what is the probability that out of 3 draws random, there is 1 white ball (prize) and 2 black balls (blanks).
Which one can calculate very easily.
Favourable ways for this event = 3C1 × 6C2
Total number of ways = 9C3
P(I) = ( 3C1× 6C2)/(9C3),, similarly we can calculate P(II) and P(III)
Hence, P(A) = (3C1× 6 C2)/(9C3)+(3C2× 6C1)/(9C3)+( 3C3× 6C0)/(9C3)
= 16/21
B has only one share in a lottery, which consists 1 prize and 2 blanks' therefore B can at most win only one prize. Hence
P(B) = 1C1/3C1 = 1/3
(P(A))/(P(B))=(16×3)/21=16/7
P(A) : P(B) = 16:7 (Ans.)
Example 4:
There are three events A, B and C one of which must, and only one can happen, the odd are 8 to 3 against and 2 to 5 for B. Find the odd, against C.
Solution:
P(A) = 3/11, P(B) = 2/7, P(C) = x (say)
Since one most and only one can happen therefore A, B, C are mutually exclusive and exhaustive events.
So, P(A) + P(B) + P(C) = 1
=> 3/11+2/7+x=1
x = (77-21-22)/77=34/77
Odd against C = (77 - 34) : 34 or 43 : 34 (Ans.)
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